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Thursday, March 8, 2012

Fed's Advice On Trading The Sun's Moodiness

Tyler Durden's picture




While we have unapologetically highlighted some of the incredible taxpayer-funded research undertaken by the Fed such as "Why water is wet?" and "Why the sky is blue?", this little gem from the Atlanta Fed takes the proverbial biscuit: "Playing the Field: Geomagnetic Storms and the Stock Market". While there are undoubtedly correlations and the physics of tidal and geomagnetic effects are clear on human brains that are 78% water, the advice is fascinating: "Specifically, people affected by geomagnetic storms may be more inclined to sell stocks on stormy days because they incorrectly attribute their bad mood to negative economic prospects rather than bad environmental conditions."

Unusually high levels of geomagnetic activity have a negative, statistically and economically significant effect on the following week's stock returns for all U.S. stock market indices.

Atlanta Fed SunSpot Paper

History sometimes repeats, history often rhymes. By studying the past, we can predict the future. These are often-quoted trading philosophies, with W.D. Gann’s work on time cycles centralizing this repetition. What I have attempted to demonstrate is that natural cycles of the sun, namely sunpots, geomagnetism and lunar illumination, are a key underlying cause of these patterns. From growth, inflation, demographics and asset cycles, to sentiment, stock market seasonality and waveform, we see solar phenomena and their influence on humans driving cyclical patterns that repeat over time.
For even more recent detail on Trading The Sun, here is John Hampson of SolarCycles.net:
Trading the Sun
 

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